The global paper and packaging industry has entered another cycle of upward price pressure. Several leading market reports and Q4 industry updates indicate:
Corrugated paper prices in China remained firm in mid-November, supported by steady demand during the traditional peak season.
Pulp and recycled fiber markets exhibit volatility, with analysts warning that global trade policies, freight costs, and supply-side disruptions may continue to impact raw-material stability leading up to year-end.
Kraft and packaging paper grades are seeing mild upward momentum, with Q4 forecasts suggesting potential increases driven by e-commerce demand and seasonal production shifts.
Certain mills globally are undergoing restructuring or capacity cuts, tightening supply for specific grades of packaging paper.
These factors together create a market environment where price stability is uncertain — and short-term increases remain likely.
Based on current supply–demand dynamics, raw-material trends, and industry forecasts, here’s what our team anticipates for the remainder of 2025:
Q4 is traditionally the busiest period for packaging demand — holiday shipments, brand promotions, and year-end restocking all drive higher consumption. With no significant new production capacity added, prices are expected to stay high or rise slightly.
Fluctuating pulp prices, unpredictable freight charges, and possible trade-policy adjustments can quickly push paper mills to adjust prices. Any disruption in imported pulp or OCC (recovered paper) flows will be passed down the supply chain.
Temporary shutdowns, mill restructuring, or output adjustments in certain regions may reduce available supply — especially for higher-grade kraft and specialty paper.
Through the end of 2025, the market is leaning toward “high and slightly rising” pricing, rather than any major drop.
If you’re planning packaging production or product launches, waiting may result in higher costs or longer lead times.
Packaging costs directly affect your product margins, inventory planning, and delivery schedule. With market volatility increasing, the best strategy for brands and distributors is:
This ensures stable pricing and gives us time to reserve production capacity for you during peak season.
We can help you balance inventory pressure while still protecting your per-unit cost.
If certain paper grades face strong price increases, we can recommend alternative materials with similar performance.
This locks in stock availability and protects your production timelines regardless of market fluctuations.
Here are the four most important reasons not to delay:
Avoid higher prices during peak Q4 demand and possible raw-material cost increases.
Ensure production priority, especially for custom packaging, where lead times can tighten quickly.
Minimize risk from global market shifts, freight volatility, and policy changes.
Benefit from our flexible MOQs, OEM/ODM services, and fast production cycles — designed specifically to support growing brands.
To maintain your cost competitiveness, we strongly recommend placing your packaging orders as early as possible.
Our factory is currently offering limited Q4 price-protection slots and priority production scheduling for confirmed orders.Contact us today to lock in your price and lead time.
